Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.121216 0.135035 0.149192 0.164743 0.181305 0.198381 0.217278
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.105155 0.124534 0.145135 0.168533 0.194242 0.221506 0.252483
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.091664 0.114711 0.140024 0.169607 0.202959 0.239136 0.281091
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.080065 0.105580 0.134469 0.169112 0.209059 0.253239 0.305360
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.071356 0.098809 0.130771 0.169990 0.216109 0.267963 0.330021
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.063117 0.091769 0.126051 0.169051 0.220549 0.279332 0.350600
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.058232 0.088362 0.125274 0.172435 0.229776 0.296035 0.377203
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.052698 0.083621 0.122436 0.172959 0.235311 0.308226 0.398441
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.047615 0.079024 0.119407 0.172923 0.239912 0.319130 0.418050
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.042640 0.074148 0.115667 0.171687 0.242794 0.327797 0.434885
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.039188 0.071094 0.114074 0.172983 0.248660 0.339964 0.455849
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.037085 0.069789 0.114677 0.177015 0.257894 0.356210 0.481751
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.033520 0.066151 0.112024 0.176793 0.261860 0.366224 0.500466
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.031686 0.064974 0.112672 0.180887 0.271330 0.383068 0.527593
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.029116 0.062440 0.111250 0.182080 0.276981 0.395140 0.548902
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.026297 0.059261 0.108713 0.181597 0.280338 0.404276 0.566573
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.024123 0.056949 0.107291 0.182536 0.285485 0.415628 0.586992
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.021654 0.053906 0.104605 0.181562 0.287986 0.423556 0.603117
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.020497 0.053053 0.105154 0.185111 0.296516 0.439191 0.628930
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.018740 0.050955 0.103670 0.185662 0.300945 0.449535 0.648099
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.017004 0.048724 0.101850 0.185626 0.304507 0.458722 0.665804
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.015165 0.046097 0.099253 0.184333 0.306257 0.465501 0.680429
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.013988 0.044661 0.098494 0.185690 0.311628 0.476996 0.701081